Head to head

Burundi vs Rwanda

If they played today

Burundi at home

40% / 26% / 34%

Burundi win / draw / Rwanda win

Burundi–Rwanda

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.0%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

32% / 26% / 42%

Burundi win / draw / Rwanda win

Burundi–Rwanda

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.7%
2–1 7.5%

Rwanda at home

26% / 25% / 50%

Burundi win / draw / Rwanda win

Burundi–Rwanda

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.8%
1–0 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Rwanda
Current Elo	1388	1448
Elo rank	150th	128th
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	218	280
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	237	289
Goals against	295	336
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Burundi 3W 3D 4L

Goals

11–13

Burundi first

First meeting

1–0

Burundi won · 1982-08-30 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2014-03-05 · Friendly

Burundi's biggest win

3–1

2011-06-05 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Rwanda's biggest win

4–2

2003-03-15 · Friendly

Most common result

3–1

Burundi first · twice, last 2011-06-05

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Burundi · since 2011-06-05

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2014-03-05	1–1	Burundi home	Friendly
2011-06-05	3–1	Burundi home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2011-03-26	1–3	Rwanda home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2008-02-06	0–0	Burundi home	Friendly
2007-05-27	0–1	Rwanda home	Friendly
2005-12-04	0–2	Rwanda home	CECAFA Cup
2004-12-13	3–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2003-03-15	2–4	Rwanda home	Friendly
1999-08-07	0–0	Rwanda home	Friendly
1982-08-30	1–0	Burundi home	Friendly