Head to head

Burundi vs Mali

If they played today

Burundi at home

22% / 24% / 55%

Burundi win / draw / Mali win

Burundi–Mali

1–1 11.2%
0–1 11.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.7%
1–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

16% / 21% / 62%

Burundi win / draw / Mali win

Burundi–Mali

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.3%

Mali at home

12% / 19% / 70%

Burundi win / draw / Mali win

Burundi–Mali

0–2 12.9%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.5%
0–3 9.2%
1–1 8.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Mali
Current Elo	1388	1709
Elo rank	150th	60th
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	218	569
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	237	746
Goals against	295	626
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.67

When they've met

Meetings

Burundi 0W 2D 0L

Goals

1–1

Burundi first

First meeting

0–0

Drawn · 2018-10-12 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2018-10-16 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Burundi's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mali

Mali's biggest win

—

Never beaten Burundi

Current run

Drawn last 2

since 2018-10-12

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-10-16	1–1	Burundi home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2018-10-12	0–0	Mali home	African Cup of Nations qualification