Head to head

Burundi vs Malawi

If they played today

Burundi at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Burundi win / draw / Malawi win

Burundi–Malawi

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
0–1 8.9%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.6%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 41%

Burundi win / draw / Malawi win

Burundi–Malawi

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.9%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Malawi at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Burundi win / draw / Malawi win

Burundi–Malawi

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Malawi
Current Elo	1388	1438
Elo rank	150th	137th
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	218	644
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	237	753
Goals against	295	832
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Burundi 2W 3D 0L

Goals

9–6

Burundi first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 1987-07-06 · Friendly

Most recent

0–0

Drawn · 2024-11-14 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Burundi's biggest win

4–2

1987-07-11 · Friendly

Malawi's biggest win

—

Never beaten Burundi

Most common result

1–1

Burundi first · twice, last 1987-07-08

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Burundi · since 1987-07-06

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-11-14	0–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations qualification
2024-09-05	3–2	Malawi home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1987-07-11	4–2	Malawi home	Friendly
1987-07-08	1–1	Malawi home	Friendly
1987-07-06	1–1	Malawi home	Friendly