Head to head

Burundi vs Kenya

If they played today

Burundi at home

38% / 26% / 36%

Burundi win / draw / Kenya win

Burundi–Kenya

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.4%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.0%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 44%

Burundi win / draw / Kenya win

Burundi–Kenya

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.3%
0–2 7.6%

Kenya at home

24% / 24% / 52%

Burundi win / draw / Kenya win

Burundi–Kenya

1–1 11.6%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.1%
1–0 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Kenya
Current Elo	1388	1472
Elo rank	150th	123rd
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	1644 (1961)
Matches played	218	706
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	268W 176D 262L
Goals for	237	978
Goals against	295	958
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.20

When they've met

Meetings

Burundi 2W 4D 4L

Goals

7–9

Burundi first

First meeting

0–1

Kenya won · 2000-09-30 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Kenya won · 2025-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Burundi's biggest win

3–2

2000-10-03 · Friendly

Kenya's biggest win

1–0

2025-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

0–1

Burundi first · 4 times, last 2025-10-09

Current run

Unbeaten in 6

Kenya · since 2009-01-08

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-09	0–1	Burundi home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2024-06-07	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2017-12-14	0–1	Kenya home	CECAFA Cup
2015-11-25	1–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2014-07-15	0–0	Kenya home	Friendly
2009-01-08	0–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2007-12-12	1–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2002-12-03	1–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2000-10-03	3–2	Kenya home	Friendly
2000-09-30	0–1	Kenya home	Friendly