Head to head

Burundi vs Italy

If they played today

Burundi at home

11% / 18% / 71%

Burundi win / draw / Italy win

Burundi–Italy

0–2 13.1%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.4%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Neutral venue

7% / 15% / 77%

Burundi win / draw / Italy win

Burundi–Italy

0–2 14.6%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.5%
1–2 8.6%
1–1 7.2%

Italy at home

5% / 12% / 83%

Burundi win / draw / Italy win

Burundi–Italy

0–2 16.0%
0–3 13.7%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.8%
1–2 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Italy
Current Elo	1388	1922
Elo rank	150th	19th
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	218	893
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	237	1565
Goals against	295	876
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.00	1.66

When they've met

Burundi and Italy have never played each other.