Head to head

Burundi vs Gambia

If they played today

Burundi at home

33% / 26% / 41%

Burundi win / draw / Gambia win

Burundi–Gambia

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.8%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

26% / 25% / 49%

Burundi win / draw / Gambia win

Burundi–Gambia

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Gambia at home

20% / 23% / 57%

Burundi win / draw / Gambia win

Burundi–Gambia

0–1 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Gambia
Current Elo	1388	1540
Elo rank	150th	99th
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	1570 (2022)
Matches played	218	266
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	73W 75D 118L
Goals for	237	279
Goals against	295	370
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Burundi 1W 0D 1L

Goals

3–4

Burundi first

First meeting

3–2

Burundi won · 2023-11-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

0–2

Gambia won · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Burundi's biggest win

3–2

2023-11-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Gambia's biggest win

2–0

2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Won the last meeting

Gambia · since 2025-09-09

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-09-09	0–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2023-11-16	3–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification