Head to head

Burundi vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Burundi at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Burundi win / draw / Ethiopia win

Burundi–Ethiopia

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.7%

Neutral venue

36% / 26% / 37%

Burundi win / draw / Ethiopia win

Burundi–Ethiopia

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.6%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Ethiopia at home

29% / 26% / 45%

Burundi win / draw / Ethiopia win

Burundi–Ethiopia

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
1–0 8.0%
0–2 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1388	1393
Elo rank	150th	148th
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	218	409
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	237	549
Goals against	295	595
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	1.67

When they've met

Meetings

Burundi 1W 2D 3L

Goals

8–10

Burundi first

First meeting

0–1

Ethiopia won · 2000-11-27 · CECAFA Cup

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2018-09-02 · Friendly

Burundi's biggest win

4–1

2017-12-07 · CECAFA Cup

Ethiopia's biggest win

3–0

2004-12-25 · CECAFA Cup

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Burundi · since 2017-12-07

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-09-02	1–1	Ethiopia home	Friendly
2017-12-07	4–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2004-12-25	0–3	Ethiopia home	CECAFA Cup
2004-12-11	1–2	Ethiopia home	CECAFA Cup
2001-12-18	2–2	Neutral	Friendly
2000-11-27	0–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup