Head to head

Burundi vs Eritrea

If they played today

Burundi at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Burundi win / draw / Eritrea win

Burundi–Eritrea

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

52% / 24% / 24%

Burundi win / draw / Eritrea win

Burundi–Eritrea

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.3%
0–1 6.8%

Eritrea at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Burundi win / draw / Eritrea win

Burundi–Eritrea

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Eritrea
Current Elo	1388	1197
Elo rank	150th	181st
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	1511 (1994)
Matches played	218	71
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	11W 16D 44L
Goals for	237	48
Goals against	295	121
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Burundi 1W 2D 0L

Goals

3–2

Burundi first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2002-12-01 · CECAFA Cup

Most recent

2–1

Burundi won · 2007-12-17 · CECAFA Cup

Burundi's biggest win

2–1

2007-12-17 · CECAFA Cup

Eritrea's biggest win

—

Never beaten Burundi

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Burundi · since 2002-12-01

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2007-12-17	2–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2005-12-02	0–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2002-12-01	1–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup