Head to head

Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Burkina Faso at home

65% / 20% / 14%

Burkina Faso win / draw / Ethiopia win

Burkina Faso–Ethiopia

2–0 11.9%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
3–0 8.0%

Neutral venue

58% / 23% / 19%

Burkina Faso win / draw / Ethiopia win

Burkina Faso–Ethiopia

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.3%

Ethiopia at home

50% / 25% / 26%

Burkina Faso win / draw / Ethiopia win

Burkina Faso–Ethiopia

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.8%
0–1 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burkina Faso	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1653	1393
Elo rank	78th	148th
Peak Elo	1726 (2017)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	464	409
All-time record	164W 123D 177L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	580	549
Goals against	617	595
Biggest win	6–0 vs Djibouti · 2025-09-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1981-08-30 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.40	1.67

When they've met

Meetings

Burkina Faso 4W 1D 1L

Goals

15–4

Burkina Faso first

First meeting

1–2

Ethiopia won · 2000-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

3–1

Burkina Faso won · 2025-10-12 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Burkina Faso's biggest win

4–0

2013-01-25 · African Cup of Nations

Ethiopia's biggest win

2–1

2000-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

3–0

Burkina Faso first · twice, last 2023-11-21

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Burkina Faso · since 2000-04-23

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-12	3–1	Burkina Faso home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2023-11-21	3–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2022-01-17	1–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2013-01-25	4–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2000-04-23	3–0	Burkina Faso home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2000-04-09	1–2	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification