Head to head

Bulgaria vs Wales

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

29% / 26% / 45%

Bulgaria win / draw / Wales win

Bulgaria–Wales

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
0–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

23% / 24% / 53%

Bulgaria win / draw / Wales win

Bulgaria–Wales

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.4%
1–0 6.7%

Wales at home

17% / 22% / 61%

Bulgaria win / draw / Wales win

Bulgaria–Wales

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Wales
Current Elo	1542	1743
Elo rank	96th	52nd
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	736	726
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	1016	910
Goals against	1105	1160
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.02
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.05	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Bulgaria 4W 1D 5L

Goals

8–6

Bulgaria first

First meeting

0–1

Wales won · 1983-04-27 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

0–1

Wales won · 2020-10-14 · UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria's biggest win

3–0

1994-12-14 · UEFA Euro qualification

Wales' biggest win

1–0

2020-10-14 · UEFA Nations League

Most common result

0–1

Bulgaria first · 5 times, last 2020-10-14

Current run

Won last 3

Wales · since 2011-10-11

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2020-10-14	0–1	Bulgaria home	UEFA Nations League
2020-09-06	0–1	Wales home	UEFA Nations League
2011-10-11	0–1	Bulgaria home	UEFA Euro qualification
2010-10-08	1–0	Wales home	UEFA Euro qualification
2007-08-22	0–1	Bulgaria home	Friendly
2006-08-15	0–0	Wales home	Friendly
1995-03-29	3–1	Bulgaria home	UEFA Euro qualification
1994-12-14	3–0	Wales home	UEFA Euro qualification
1983-11-16	1–0	Bulgaria home	UEFA Euro qualification
1983-04-27	0–1	Wales home	UEFA Euro qualification