Head to head

Bulgaria vs United States

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Bulgaria win / draw / United States win

Bulgaria–United States

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.4%
1–0 6.7%

Neutral venue

17% / 22% / 61%

Bulgaria win / draw / United States win

Bulgaria–United States

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.0%

United States at home

12% / 19% / 68%

Bulgaria win / draw / United States win

Bulgaria–United States

0–2 12.5%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
0–3 8.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	United States
Current Elo	1542	1842
Elo rank	96th	33rd
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1973 (2021)
Matches played	736	795
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	354W 161D 280L
Goals for	1016	1211
Goals against	1105	1056
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	8–0 vs Barbados · 2008-06-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	0–11 vs Norway · 1948-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.21

When they've met

Bulgaria and United States have never played each other.