Head to head

Bulgaria vs Tonga

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Bulgaria win / draw / Tonga win

Bulgaria–Tonga

2–0 15.4%
3–0 12.7%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

74% / 17% / 9%

Bulgaria win / draw / Tonga win

Bulgaria–Tonga

2–0 13.9%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.5%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 8.0%

Tonga at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Bulgaria win / draw / Tonga win

Bulgaria–Tonga

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Tonga
Current Elo	1542	1056
Elo rank	96th	198th
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	736	68
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1016	81
Goals against	1105	253
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00

When they've met

Bulgaria and Tonga have never played each other.