Head to head

Bulgaria vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

53% / 24% / 23%

Bulgaria win / draw / Tajikistan win

Bulgaria–Tajikistan

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.5%
0–1 6.7%

Neutral venue

45% / 26% / 29%

Bulgaria win / draw / Tajikistan win

Bulgaria–Tajikistan

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 7.9%

Tajikistan at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Bulgaria win / draw / Tajikistan win

Bulgaria–Tajikistan

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Tajikistan
Current Elo	1542	1438
Elo rank	96th	136th
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	736	201
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	1016	299
Goals against	1105	278
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00

When they've met

Bulgaria and Tajikistan have never played each other.