Head to head

Bulgaria vs Sri Lanka

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

83% / 13% / 5%

Bulgaria win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Bulgaria–Sri Lanka

2–0 16.0%
3–0 13.7%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.8%
2–1 7.3%

Neutral venue

77% / 15% / 8%

Bulgaria win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Bulgaria–Sri Lanka

2–0 14.5%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.4%
2–1 8.6%
1–1 7.3%

Sri Lanka at home

70% / 18% / 11%

Bulgaria win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Bulgaria–Sri Lanka

2–0 13.0%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.4%
3–0 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Sri Lanka
Current Elo	1542	1011
Elo rank	96th	202nd
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1489 (1952)
Matches played	736	251
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	49W 47D 155L
Goals for	1016	237
Goals against	1105	576
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	7–1 vs Pakistan · 2008-04-04 · AFC Challenge Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	1–12 vs German DR · 1964-01-12 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00

When they've met

Bulgaria and Sri Lanka have never played each other.