Head to head

Bulgaria vs Samoa

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

70% / 19% / 11%

Bulgaria win / draw / Samoa win

Bulgaria–Samoa

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.3%
1–1 8.8%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Bulgaria win / draw / Samoa win

Bulgaria–Samoa

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Samoa at home

55% / 24% / 21%

Bulgaria win / draw / Samoa win

Bulgaria–Samoa

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
2–0 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Samoa
Current Elo	1542	1216
Elo rank	96th	179th
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	736	71
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1016	99
Goals against	1105	249
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00

When they've met

Bulgaria and Samoa have never played each other.