Head to head

Bulgaria vs Saint Lucia

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

70% / 19% / 12%

Bulgaria win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Bulgaria–Saint Lucia

2–0 12.8%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.1%
1–1 8.9%

Neutral venue

62% / 21% / 16%

Bulgaria win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Bulgaria–Saint Lucia

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Saint Lucia at home

54% / 24% / 22%

Bulgaria win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Bulgaria–Saint Lucia

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Saint Lucia
Current Elo	1542	1224
Elo rank	96th	177th
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1526 (1965)
Matches played	736	230
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	80W 33D 117L
Goals for	1016	327
Goals against	1105	438
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	14–1 vs United States Virgin Islands · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	0–8 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 2006-10-01 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00

When they've met

Bulgaria and Saint Lucia have never played each other.