Head to head

Bulgaria vs Moldova

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Bulgaria win / draw / Moldova win

Bulgaria–Moldova

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

55% / 24% / 22%

Bulgaria win / draw / Moldova win

Bulgaria–Moldova

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.8%
0–1 6.4%

Moldova at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Bulgaria win / draw / Moldova win

Bulgaria–Moldova

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Moldova
Current Elo	1542	1319
Elo rank	96th	165th
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1566 (1994)
Matches played	736	299
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	58W 70D 171L
Goals for	1016	243
Goals against	1105	522
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.05	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Bulgaria 2W 1D 0L

Goals

9–3

Bulgaria first

First meeting

4–1

Bulgaria won · 1994-11-16 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

2–2

Drawn · 2026-06-05 · Friendly

Bulgaria's biggest win

4–1

1994-11-16 · UEFA Euro qualification

Moldova's biggest win

—

Never beaten Bulgaria

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Bulgaria · since 1994-11-16

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-06-05	2–2	Moldova home	Friendly
1995-04-26	3–0	Moldova home	UEFA Euro qualification
1994-11-16	4–1	Bulgaria home	UEFA Euro qualification