Head to head

Bulgaria vs Mexico

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Bulgaria win / draw / Mexico win

Bulgaria–Mexico

0–2 12.1%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.6%
0–3 8.2%

Neutral venue

10% / 17% / 73%

Bulgaria win / draw / Mexico win

Bulgaria–Mexico

0–2 13.6%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.2%
1–2 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Mexico at home

6% / 14% / 79%

Bulgaria win / draw / Mexico win

Bulgaria–Mexico

0–2 15.1%
0–1 12.4%
0–3 12.3%
1–2 8.2%
0–4 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Mexico
Current Elo	1542	2012
Elo rank	96th	12th
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	736	1008
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	1016	1777
Goals against	1105	1057
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

Bulgaria 2W 6D 3L

Goals

11–11

Bulgaria first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 1970-02-15 · Friendly

Most recent

3–0

Bulgaria won · 2005-11-16 · Friendly

Bulgaria's biggest win

3–0

2005-11-16 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

2–0

1986-06-15 · FIFA World Cup

Most common result

1–1

Bulgaria first · 6 times, last 1994-07-05

Current run

Won the last meeting

Bulgaria · since 2005-11-16

11 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2005-11-16	3–0	Neutral	Friendly
2002-04-17	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
2001-01-24	2–0	Mexico home	Friendly
1994-07-05	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1994-01-19	1–1	Neutral	Friendly
1992-08-19	1–1	Bulgaria home	Friendly
1986-06-15	0–2	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup
1985-08-27	1–1	Neutral	Friendly
1981-01-20	1–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1970-02-18	0–2	Mexico home	Friendly
1970-02-15	1–1	Mexico home	Friendly