Head to head

Bulgaria vs Malawi

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

53% / 24% / 23%

Bulgaria win / draw / Malawi win

Bulgaria–Malawi

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.5%
0–1 6.7%

Neutral venue

45% / 26% / 29%

Bulgaria win / draw / Malawi win

Bulgaria–Malawi

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 7.9%

Malawi at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Bulgaria win / draw / Malawi win

Bulgaria–Malawi

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Malawi
Current Elo	1542	1438
Elo rank	96th	137th
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	736	644
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	1016	753
Goals against	1105	832
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00

When they've met

Bulgaria and Malawi have never played each other.