Head to head

Bulgaria vs Madagascar

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

47% / 25% / 27%

Bulgaria win / draw / Madagascar win

Bulgaria–Madagascar

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

39% / 26% / 34%

Bulgaria win / draw / Madagascar win

Bulgaria–Madagascar

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.2%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.8%

Madagascar at home

32% / 26% / 42%

Bulgaria win / draw / Madagascar win

Bulgaria–Madagascar

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.6%
2–1 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Madagascar
Current Elo	1542	1511
Elo rank	96th	108th
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1645 (1993)
Matches played	736	320
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	118W 73D 129L
Goals for	1016	434
Goals against	1105	484
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00

When they've met

Bulgaria and Madagascar have never played each other.