Head to head

Bulgaria vs Kenya

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

51% / 25% / 25%

Bulgaria win / draw / Kenya win

Bulgaria–Kenya

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Neutral venue

42% / 26% / 32%

Bulgaria win / draw / Kenya win

Bulgaria–Kenya

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.4%

Kenya at home

35% / 26% / 39%

Bulgaria win / draw / Kenya win

Bulgaria–Kenya

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.2%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Kenya
Current Elo	1542	1472
Elo rank	96th	123rd
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1644 (1961)
Matches played	736	706
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	268W 176D 262L
Goals for	1016	978
Goals against	1105	958
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00

When they've met

Bulgaria and Kenya have never played each other.