Head to head

Bulgaria vs Iceland

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Bulgaria win / draw / Iceland win

Bulgaria–Iceland

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Neutral venue

30% / 26% / 45%

Bulgaria win / draw / Iceland win

Bulgaria–Iceland

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.8%

Iceland at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Bulgaria win / draw / Iceland win

Bulgaria–Iceland

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.3%
1–0 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Iceland
Current Elo	1542	1639
Elo rank	96th	81st
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1885 (2017)
Matches played	736	522
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	159W 102D 261L
Goals for	1016	632
Goals against	1105	876
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	<0.01
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.05	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Bulgaria 4W 1D 0L

Goals

12–7

Bulgaria first

First meeting

3–2

Bulgaria won · 1988-08-07 · Friendly

Most recent

3–2

Bulgaria won · 2005-09-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Bulgaria's biggest win

3–1

2004-09-04 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Iceland's biggest win

—

Never beaten Bulgaria

Most common result

3–2

Bulgaria first · twice, last 2005-09-07

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Bulgaria · since 1988-08-07

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2005-09-07	3–2	Bulgaria home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-09-04	3–1	Iceland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2001-06-06	1–1	Iceland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2001-03-24	2–1	Bulgaria home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1988-08-07	3–2	Iceland home	Friendly