Head to head

Bulgaria vs Estonia

If they played today

Bulgaria at home

54% / 24% / 22%

Bulgaria win / draw / Estonia win

Bulgaria–Estonia

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.5%

Neutral venue

46% / 25% / 28%

Bulgaria win / draw / Estonia win

Bulgaria–Estonia

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
2–0 8.1%
0–1 7.9%

Estonia at home

38% / 26% / 36%

Bulgaria win / draw / Estonia win

Bulgaria–Estonia

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.4%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bulgaria	Estonia
Current Elo	1542	1425
Elo rank	96th	141st
Peak Elo	1861 (1995)	1607 (2018)
Matches played	736	550
All-time record	262W 188D 286L	136W 122D 292L
Goals for	1016	544
Goals against	1105	974
Biggest win	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.05	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Bulgaria 1W 1D 0L

Goals

2–0

Bulgaria first

First meeting

0–0

Drawn · 2003-04-02 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

2–0

Bulgaria won · 2003-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification

Bulgaria's biggest win

2–0

2003-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification

Estonia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Bulgaria

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Bulgaria · since 2003-04-02

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2003-09-06	2–0	Bulgaria home	UEFA Euro qualification
2003-04-02	0–0	Estonia home	UEFA Euro qualification