Head to head

Brazil vs Tonga

If they played today

Brazil at home

97% / 3% / 0%

Brazil win / draw / Tonga win

Brazil–Tonga

3–0 20.4%
4–0 18.1%
2–0 17.3%
5–0 12.8%
1–0 9.8%

Neutral venue

96% / 4% / 0%

Brazil win / draw / Tonga win

Brazil–Tonga

3–0 20.9%
2–0 18.8%
4–0 17.5%
5–0 11.7%
1–0 11.3%

Tonga at home

95% / 5% / 0%

Brazil win / draw / Tonga win

Brazil–Tonga

3–0 20.8%
2–0 19.8%
4–0 16.3%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Brazil	Tonga
Current Elo	2076	1056
Elo rank	6th	198th
Peak Elo	2258 (2022)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	1064	68
All-time record	675W 217D 172L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	2315	81
Goals against	961	253
Biggest win	10–1 vs Bolivia · 1949-04-10 · Copa América	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Germany · 2014-07-08 · FIFA World Cup	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	5	0
Expected World Cups	2.98	0.00

When they've met

Brazil and Tonga have never played each other.