Head to head

Brazil vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Brazil at home

90% / 8% / 2%

Brazil win / draw / Ethiopia win

Brazil–Ethiopia

2–0 18.1%
3–0 17.3%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.4%
5–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

85% / 11% / 4%

Brazil win / draw / Ethiopia win

Brazil–Ethiopia

2–0 16.7%
3–0 14.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 9.9%
2–1 6.5%

Ethiopia at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Brazil win / draw / Ethiopia win

Brazil–Ethiopia

2–0 15.3%
3–0 12.6%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Brazil	Ethiopia
Current Elo	2076	1393
Elo rank	6th	148th
Peak Elo	2258 (2022)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	1064	409
All-time record	675W 217D 172L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	2315	549
Goals against	961	595
Biggest win	10–1 vs Bolivia · 1949-04-10 · Copa América	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Germany · 2014-07-08 · FIFA World Cup	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
World Cups won	5	0
Expected World Cups	2.98	0.00

When they've met

Brazil and Ethiopia have never played each other.