Head to head

Botswana vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Botswana at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Botswana win / draw / Ethiopia win

Botswana–Ethiopia

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.7%

Neutral venue

36% / 26% / 37%

Botswana win / draw / Ethiopia win

Botswana–Ethiopia

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.6%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Ethiopia at home

29% / 26% / 45%

Botswana win / draw / Ethiopia win

Botswana–Ethiopia

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
1–0 8.0%
0–2 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Botswana	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1388	1393
Elo rank	149th	148th
Peak Elo	1561 (2011)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	332	409
All-time record	90W 92D 150L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	268	549
Goals against	426	595
Biggest win	6–0 vs Mauritius · 2018-06-01 · COSAFA Cup	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–8 vs Malawi · 1968-07-13 · Friendly	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.02	1.67

When they've met

Meetings

Botswana 1W 0D 2L

Goals

5–4

Botswana first

First meeting

0–1

Ethiopia won · 2013-03-24 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

2–3

Ethiopia won · 2015-09-30 · Friendly

Botswana's biggest win

3–0

2013-06-08 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

3–2

2015-09-30 · Friendly

Current run

Won the last meeting

Ethiopia · since 2015-09-30

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2015-09-30	2–3	Botswana home	Friendly
2013-06-08	3–0	Botswana home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2013-03-24	0–1	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification