Head to head

Bermuda vs Samoa

If they played today

Bermuda at home

55% / 24% / 22%

Bermuda win / draw / Samoa win

Bermuda–Samoa

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.8%
0–1 6.4%

Neutral venue

47% / 25% / 28%

Bermuda win / draw / Samoa win

Bermuda–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.8%

Samoa at home

39% / 26% / 35%

Bermuda win / draw / Samoa win

Bermuda–Samoa

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bermuda	Samoa
Current Elo	1339	1216
Elo rank	162nd	179th
Peak Elo	1530 (2015)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	198	71
All-time record	68W 33D 97L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	328	99
Goals against	349	249
Biggest win	13–0 vs Montserrat · 2004-02-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Curaçao · 2025-11-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Bermuda and Samoa have never played each other.