Head to head

Bermuda vs Mexico

If they played today

Bermuda at home

6% / 14% / 80%

Bermuda win / draw / Mexico win

Bermuda–Mexico

0–2 15.2%
0–1 12.4%
0–3 12.4%
1–2 8.1%
0–4 7.6%

Neutral venue

4% / 11% / 85%

Bermuda win / draw / Mexico win

Bermuda–Mexico

0–2 16.6%
0–3 14.6%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 9.7%
1–2 6.7%

Mexico at home

2% / 9% / 90%

Bermuda win / draw / Mexico win

Bermuda–Mexico

0–2 18.0%
0–3 17.0%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 12.1%
0–5 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bermuda	Mexico
Current Elo	1339	2012
Elo rank	162nd	12th
Peak Elo	1530 (2015)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	198	1008
All-time record	68W 33D 97L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	328	1777
Goals against	349	1057
Biggest win	13–0 vs Montserrat · 2004-02-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Curaçao · 2025-11-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64
CONCACAF Gold Cups won	0	13
Expected CONCACAF Gold Cups	<0.01	6.74

When they've met

Meetings

Bermuda 1W 0D 5L

Goals

4–17

Bermuda first

First meeting

0–3

Mexico won · 1969-10-21 · CONCACAF Championship qualification

Most recent

1–2

Mexico won · 2019-11-19 · CONCACAF Nations League

Bermuda's biggest win

2–1

1969-11-02 · CONCACAF Championship qualification

Mexico's biggest win

5–1

2019-10-11 · CONCACAF Nations League

Current run

Won last 4

Mexico · since 1971-10-06

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2019-11-19	1–2	Mexico home	CONCACAF Nations League
2019-10-11	1–5	Bermuda home	CONCACAF Nations League
1971-10-06	0–2	Bermuda home	CONCACAF Championship qualification
1971-10-06	0–4	Mexico home	CONCACAF Championship qualification
1969-11-02	2–1	Bermuda home	CONCACAF Championship qualification
1969-10-21	0–3	Mexico home	CONCACAF Championship qualification