Head to head

Bermuda vs Ecuador

If they played today

Bermuda at home

8% / 16% / 77%

Bermuda win / draw / Ecuador win

Bermuda–Ecuador

0–2 14.5%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.3%
1–2 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

5% / 13% / 82%

Bermuda win / draw / Ecuador win

Bermuda–Ecuador

0–2 15.9%
0–3 13.5%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.6%
1–2 7.4%

Ecuador at home

3% / 10% / 87%

Bermuda win / draw / Ecuador win

Bermuda–Ecuador

0–2 17.3%
0–3 15.9%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.9%
0–5 6.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bermuda	Ecuador
Current Elo	1339	1964
Elo rank	162nd	16th
Peak Elo	1530 (2015)	2028 (2026)
Matches played	198	595
All-time record	68W 33D 97L	184W 158D 253L
Goals for	328	719
Goals against	349	907
Biggest win	13–0 vs Montserrat · 2004-02-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Curaçao · 2025-11-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.08

When they've met

Bermuda and Ecuador have never played each other.