Head to head

Bermuda vs Dominica

If they played today

Bermuda at home

58% / 23% / 19%

Bermuda win / draw / Dominica win

Bermuda–Dominica

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

50% / 25% / 25%

Bermuda win / draw / Dominica win

Bermuda–Dominica

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.2%

Dominica at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Bermuda win / draw / Dominica win

Bermuda–Dominica

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.8%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bermuda	Dominica
Current Elo	1339	1173
Elo rank	162nd	184th
Peak Elo	1530 (2015)	1520 (1938)
Matches played	198	215
All-time record	68W 33D 97L	52W 46D 117L
Goals for	328	250
Goals against	349	436
Biggest win	13–0 vs Montserrat · 2004-02-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs British Virgin Islands · 2010-10-15 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Curaçao · 2025-11-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–10 vs Mexico · 2004-06-19 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
CONCACAF Gold Cups won	0	0
Expected CONCACAF Gold Cups	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Bermuda 2W 0D 0L

Goals

9–3

Bermuda first

First meeting

6–1

Bermuda won · 2024-10-12 · CONCACAF Nations League

Most recent

3–2

Bermuda won · 2024-10-15 · CONCACAF Nations League

Bermuda's biggest win

6–1

2024-10-12 · CONCACAF Nations League

Dominica's biggest win

—

Never beaten Bermuda

Current run

Won last 2

Bermuda · since 2024-10-12

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-10-15	3–2	Bermuda home	CONCACAF Nations League
2024-10-12	6–1	Bermuda home	CONCACAF Nations League