Head to head

Belarus vs Northern Ireland

If they played today

Belarus at home

38% / 26% / 35%

Belarus win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Belarus–Northern Ireland

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 8.0%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 43%

Belarus win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Belarus–Northern Ireland

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Northern Ireland at home

24% / 24% / 51%

Belarus win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Belarus–Northern Ireland

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.1%
1–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Belarus	Northern Ireland
Current Elo	1586	1667
Elo rank	88th	73rd
Peak Elo	1694 (2010)	1758 (1986)
Matches played	315	707
All-time record	94W 80D 141L	185W 160D 362L
Goals for	363	741
Goals against	464	1296
Biggest win	6–1 vs Tajikistan · 2014-09-04 · Friendly	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Belgium · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.04
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Belarus 0W 1D 4L

Goals

1–8

Belarus first

First meeting

0–3

Northern Ireland won · 2016-05-27 · Friendly

Most recent

0–2

Northern Ireland won · 2024-11-15 · UEFA Nations League

Belarus' biggest win

—

Never beaten Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland's biggest win

3–0

2016-05-27 · Friendly

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Northern Ireland · since 2016-05-27

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-11-15	0–2	Northern Ireland home	UEFA Nations League
2024-10-12	0–0	Neutral	UEFA Nations League
2019-06-11	0–1	Belarus home	UEFA Euro qualification
2019-03-24	1–2	Northern Ireland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2016-05-27	0–3	Northern Ireland home	Friendly