Head to head

Bahamas vs Tonga

If they played today

Bahamas at home
37% / 26% / 37%
Bahamas win / draw / Tonga win
Bahamas–Tonga
  • 1–1 12.5%
  • 1–0 9.7%
  • 0–1 9.6%
  • 2–1 8.2%
  • 1–2 8.1%
Neutral venue
30% / 26% / 45%
Bahamas win / draw / Tonga win
Bahamas–Tonga
  • 1–1 12.2%
  • 0–1 10.4%
  • 1–2 9.1%
  • 1–0 8.1%
  • 0–2 7.8%
Tonga at home
23% / 24% / 53%
Bahamas win / draw / Tonga win
Bahamas–Tonga
  • 1–1 11.4%
  • 0–1 11.0%
  • 1–2 9.7%
  • 0–2 9.4%
  • 1–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 BahamasTonga
Current Elo9581056
Elo rank209th198th
Peak Elo1510 (1999)1478 (1979)
Matches played6768
All-time record14W 10D 43L16W 6D 46L
Goals for7581
Goals against213253
Biggest win6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Bahamas and Tonga have never played each other.