Head to head

Bahamas vs Saint Lucia

If they played today

Bahamas at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Bahamas win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Bahamas–Saint Lucia

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 8.9%
1–0 7.2%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 58%

Bahamas win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Bahamas–Saint Lucia

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
0–2 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.4%

Saint Lucia at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Bahamas win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Bahamas–Saint Lucia

0–2 12.0%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
0–3 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bahamas	Saint Lucia
Current Elo	958	1224
Elo rank	209th	177th
Peak Elo	1510 (1999)	1526 (1965)
Matches played	67	230
All-time record	14W 10D 43L	80W 33D 117L
Goals for	75	327
Goals against	213	438
Biggest win	6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	14–1 vs United States Virgin Islands · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–8 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 2006-10-01 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Bahamas and Saint Lucia have never played each other.