Head to head

Bahamas vs Northern Ireland

If they played today

Bahamas at home

5% / 13% / 82%

Bahamas win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Bahamas–Northern Ireland

0–2 15.7%
0–3 13.2%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.3%
1–2 7.7%

Neutral venue

3% / 10% / 87%

Bahamas win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Bahamas–Northern Ireland

0–2 17.1%
0–3 15.5%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.5%
1–2 6.1%

Northern Ireland at home

1% / 8% / 91%

Bahamas win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Bahamas–Northern Ireland

0–2 18.4%
0–3 17.9%
0–4 13.1%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bahamas	Northern Ireland
Current Elo	958	1667
Elo rank	209th	73rd
Peak Elo	1510 (1999)	1758 (1986)
Matches played	67	707
All-time record	14W 10D 43L	185W 160D 362L
Goals for	75	741
Goals against	213	1296
Biggest win	6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.04

When they've met

Bahamas and Northern Ireland have never played each other.