Head to head

Bahamas vs New Zealand

If they played today

Bahamas at home

5% / 13% / 83%

Bahamas win / draw / New Zealand win

Bahamas–New Zealand

0–2 16.0%
0–3 13.7%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.8%
1–2 7.3%

Neutral venue

3% / 10% / 88%

Bahamas win / draw / New Zealand win

Bahamas–New Zealand

0–2 17.4%
0–3 16.0%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 11.1%
0–5 6.1%

New Zealand at home

1% / 7% / 92%

Bahamas win / draw / New Zealand win

Bahamas–New Zealand

0–2 18.7%
0–3 18.5%
0–4 13.7%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bahamas	New Zealand
Current Elo	958	1689
Elo rank	209th	68th
Peak Elo	1510 (1999)	1825 (2025)
Matches played	67	419
All-time record	14W 10D 43L	172W 74D 173L
Goals for	75	733
Goals against	213	634
Biggest win	6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Bahamas and New Zealand have never played each other.