Head to head

Bahamas vs Mexico

If they played today

Bahamas at home

0% / 4% / 95%

Bahamas win / draw / Mexico win

Bahamas–Mexico

0–3 21.2%
0–2 19.8%
0–4 17.0%
0–1 12.3%
0–5 10.9%

Neutral venue

0% / 4% / 96%

Bahamas win / draw / Mexico win

Bahamas–Mexico

0–3 20.8%
0–2 18.3%
0–4 17.7%
0–5 12.1%
0–1 10.7%

Mexico at home

0% / 3% / 97%

Bahamas win / draw / Mexico win

Bahamas–Mexico

0–3 20.2%
0–4 18.2%
0–2 16.8%
0–5 13.1%
0–1 9.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bahamas	Mexico
Current Elo	958	2012
Elo rank	209th	12th
Peak Elo	1510 (1999)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	67	1008
All-time record	14W 10D 43L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	75	1777
Goals against	213	1057
Biggest win	6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64
CONCACAF Gold Cups won	0	13
Expected CONCACAF Gold Cups	0.00	6.74

When they've met

Bahamas and Mexico have never played each other.