Head to head

Bahamas vs Luxembourg

If they played today

Bahamas at home

12% / 19% / 69%

Bahamas win / draw / Luxembourg win

Bahamas–Luxembourg

0–2 12.7%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.6%
0–3 9.0%
1–1 9.0%

Neutral venue

8% / 16% / 76%

Bahamas win / draw / Luxembourg win

Bahamas–Luxembourg

0–2 14.3%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.0%
1–2 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Luxembourg at home

5% / 13% / 82%

Bahamas win / draw / Luxembourg win

Bahamas–Luxembourg

0–2 15.7%
0–3 13.2%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.4%
1–2 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bahamas	Luxembourg
Current Elo	958	1470
Elo rank	209th	124th
Peak Elo	1510 (1999)	1567 (2023)
Matches played	67	467
All-time record	14W 10D 43L	50W 63D 354L
Goals for	75	296
Goals against	213	1204
Biggest win	6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Bahamas and Luxembourg have never played each other.