Head to head

Bahamas vs Italy

If they played today

Bahamas at home

1% / 6% / 93%

Bahamas win / draw / Italy win

Bahamas–Italy

0–3 19.3%
0–2 19.1%
0–4 14.6%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 8.9%

Neutral venue

0% / 4% / 95%

Bahamas win / draw / Italy win

Bahamas–Italy

0–3 21.1%
0–2 19.6%
0–4 17.1%
0–1 12.2%
0–5 11.0%

Italy at home

0% / 4% / 96%

Bahamas win / draw / Italy win

Bahamas–Italy

0–3 20.7%
0–2 18.1%
0–4 17.8%
0–5 12.2%
0–1 10.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bahamas	Italy
Current Elo	958	1922
Elo rank	209th	19th
Peak Elo	1510 (1999)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	67	893
All-time record	14W 10D 43L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	75	1565
Goals against	213	876
Biggest win	6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.00	1.66

When they've met

Bahamas and Italy have never played each other.