Head to head

Bahamas vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Bahamas at home
16% / 21% / 63%
Bahamas win / draw / Ethiopia win
Bahamas–Ethiopia
  • 0–1 11.7%
  • 0–2 11.5%
  • 1–1 10.0%
  • 1–2 9.8%
  • 0–3 7.6%
Neutral venue
11% / 18% / 71%
Bahamas win / draw / Ethiopia win
Bahamas–Ethiopia
  • 0–2 13.1%
  • 0–1 12.1%
  • 0–3 9.5%
  • 1–2 9.4%
  • 1–1 8.7%
Ethiopia at home
7% / 15% / 77%
Bahamas win / draw / Ethiopia win
Bahamas–Ethiopia
  • 0–2 14.6%
  • 0–1 12.3%
  • 0–3 11.5%
  • 1–2 8.6%
  • 1–1 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 BahamasEthiopia
Current Elo9581393
Elo rank209th148th
Peak Elo1510 (1999)1641 (1968)
Matches played67409
All-time record14W 10D 43L144W 93D 172L
Goals for75549
Goals against213595
Biggest win6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Bahamas and Ethiopia have never played each other.