Head to head

Bahamas vs Dominica

If they played today

Bahamas at home

28% / 25% / 46%

Bahamas win / draw / Dominica win

Bahamas–Dominica

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
0–2 8.1%
1–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

22% / 24% / 54%

Bahamas win / draw / Dominica win

Bahamas–Dominica

1–1 11.3%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.6%
1–0 6.5%

Dominica at home

17% / 21% / 62%

Bahamas win / draw / Dominica win

Bahamas–Dominica

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bahamas	Dominica
Current Elo	958	1173
Elo rank	209th	184th
Peak Elo	1510 (1999)	1520 (1938)
Matches played	67	215
All-time record	14W 10D 43L	52W 46D 117L
Goals for	75	250
Goals against	213	436
Biggest win	6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs British Virgin Islands · 2010-10-15 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–10 vs Mexico · 2004-06-19 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Bahamas 0W 1D 2L

Goals

2–8

Bahamas first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2004-03-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

0–4

Dominica won · 2019-03-23 · CONCACAF Nations League qualification

Bahamas' biggest win

—

Never beaten Dominica

Dominica's biggest win

4–0

2019-03-23 · CONCACAF Nations League qualification

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Dominica · since 2004-03-26

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2019-03-23	0–4	Dominica home	CONCACAF Nations League qualification
2004-03-28	1–3	Bahamas home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-03-26	1–1	Bahamas home	FIFA World Cup qualification