Head to head

Bahamas vs Bermuda

If they played today

Bahamas at home

18% / 22% / 59%

Bahamas win / draw / Bermuda win

Bahamas–Bermuda

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.6%

Neutral venue

13% / 20% / 67%

Bahamas win / draw / Bermuda win

Bahamas–Bermuda

0–2 12.2%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
0–3 8.4%

Bermuda at home

9% / 17% / 74%

Bahamas win / draw / Bermuda win

Bahamas–Bermuda

0–2 13.8%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Bahamas	Bermuda
Current Elo	958	1339
Elo rank	209th	162nd
Peak Elo	1510 (1999)	1530 (2015)
Matches played	67	198
All-time record	14W 10D 43L	68W 33D 97L
Goals for	75	328
Goals against	213	349
Biggest win	6–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2011-07-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	13–0 vs Montserrat · 2004-02-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Haiti · 2000-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–7 vs Curaçao · 2025-11-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
CONCACAF Gold Cups won	0	0
Expected CONCACAF Gold Cups	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Bahamas 0W 0D 4L

Goals

0–18

Bahamas first

First meeting

0–6

Bermuda won · 1999-05-05 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification

Most recent

0–3

Bermuda won · 2015-03-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Bahamas' biggest win

—

Never beaten Bermuda

Bermuda's biggest win

6–0

1999-05-05 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification

Current run

Won last 4

Bermuda · since 1999-05-05

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2015-03-29	0–3	Bermuda home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2015-03-25	0–5	Bahamas home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2006-11-21	0–4	Neutral	CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
1999-05-05	0–6	Bermuda home	CFU Caribbean Cup qualification