Head to head

Azerbaijan vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Azerbaijan at home
46% / 25% / 29%
Azerbaijan win / draw / Ethiopia win
Azerbaijan–Ethiopia
  • 1–1 12.1%
  • 1–0 10.5%
  • 2–1 9.2%
  • 2–0 8.0%
  • 0–1 7.9%
Neutral venue
38% / 26% / 36%
Azerbaijan win / draw / Ethiopia win
Azerbaijan–Ethiopia
  • 1–1 12.5%
  • 1–0 9.7%
  • 0–1 9.5%
  • 2–1 8.3%
  • 1–2 8.1%
Ethiopia at home
30% / 26% / 44%
Azerbaijan win / draw / Ethiopia win
Azerbaijan–Ethiopia
  • 1–1 12.2%
  • 0–1 10.3%
  • 1–2 9.0%
  • 1–0 8.3%
  • 0–2 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 AzerbaijanEthiopia
Current Elo14041393
Elo rank147th148th
Peak Elo1544 (2023)1641 (1968)
Matches played310409
All-time record61W 79D 170L144W 93D 172L
Goals for238549
Goals against520595
Biggest win6–1 vs Saint Lucia · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss0–10 vs France · 1995-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Azerbaijan and Ethiopia have never played each other.