Head to head

Australia vs Samoa

If they played today

Australia at home

90% / 8% / 2%

Australia win / draw / Samoa win

Australia–Samoa

2–0 18.2%
3–0 17.5%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.6%
5–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

86% / 11% / 3%

Australia win / draw / Samoa win

Australia–Samoa

2–0 16.9%
3–0 15.1%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.1%
2–1 6.4%

Samoa at home

81% / 14% / 6%

Australia win / draw / Samoa win

Australia–Samoa

2–0 15.4%
3–0 12.8%
1–0 12.4%
4–0 7.9%
2–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Australia	Samoa
Current Elo	1908	1216
Elo rank	22nd	179th
Peak Elo	1969 (1997)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	585	71
All-time record	297W 125D 163L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1170	99
Goals against	622	249
Biggest win	31–0 vs American Samoa · 2001-04-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs South Africa · 1955-09-17 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.09	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Australia 1W 0D 0L

Goals

11–0

Australia first

First meeting

11–0

Australia won · 2001-04-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

11–0

Australia won · 2001-04-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2001-04-16	11–0	Australia home	FIFA World Cup qualification