Head to head

Australia vs Ecuador

If they played today

Australia at home

40% / 26% / 34%

Australia win / draw / Ecuador win

Australia–Ecuador

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.0%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.7%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 41%

Australia win / draw / Ecuador win

Australia–Ecuador

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.8%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Ecuador at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Australia win / draw / Ecuador win

Australia–Ecuador

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.7%
1–0 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Australia	Ecuador
Current Elo	1908	1964
Elo rank	22nd	16th
Peak Elo	1969 (1997)	2028 (2026)
Matches played	585	595
All-time record	297W 125D 163L	184W 158D 253L
Goals for	1170	719
Goals against	622	907
Biggest win	31–0 vs American Samoa · 2001-04-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–8 vs South Africa · 1955-09-17 · Friendly	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.09	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Australia 1W 0D 2L

Goals

7–7

Australia first

First meeting

3–4

Ecuador won · 2014-03-05 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

Ecuador won · 2023-03-28 · Friendly

Australia's biggest win

3–1

2023-03-24 · Friendly

Ecuador's biggest win

4–3

2014-03-05 · Friendly

Current run

Won the last meeting

Ecuador · since 2023-03-28

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-03-28	1–2	Australia home	Friendly
2023-03-24	3–1	Australia home	Friendly
2014-03-05	3–4	Neutral	Friendly