Head to head

Aruba vs United States Virgin Islands

If they played today

Aruba at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Aruba win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Aruba–United States Virgin Islands

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

55% / 24% / 21%

Aruba win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Aruba–United States Virgin Islands

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
2–0 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

United States Virgin Islands at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Aruba win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Aruba–United States Virgin Islands

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Aruba	United States Virgin Islands
Current Elo	1216	990
Elo rank	178th	206th
Peak Elo	1490 (1946)	1507 (1999)
Matches played	152	78
All-time record	32W 31D 89L	10W 12D 56L
Goals for	199	54
Goals against	357	295
Biggest win	8–1 vs Suriname · 1946-06-06 · Friendly	4–0 vs Marshall Islands · 2025-08-14 · Outrigger Challenge Cup
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Trinidad and Tobago · 1989-04-23 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification	1–14 vs Saint Lucia · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Aruba 2W 0D 0L

Goals

7–2

Aruba first

First meeting

3–1

Aruba won · 2023-10-14 · CONCACAF Nations League

Most recent

4–1

Aruba won · 2023-11-16 · CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba's biggest win

4–1

2023-11-16 · CONCACAF Nations League

United States Virgin Islands' biggest win

—

Never beaten Aruba

Current run

Won last 2

Aruba · since 2023-10-14

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-11-16	4–1	United States Virgin Islands home	CONCACAF Nations League
2023-10-14	3–1	Aruba home	CONCACAF Nations League