Head to head

Aruba vs San Marino

If they played today

Aruba at home

69% / 19% / 12%

Aruba win / draw / San Marino win

Aruba–San Marino

2–0 12.8%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.1%
1–1 9.0%

Neutral venue

62% / 21% / 17%

Aruba win / draw / San Marino win

Aruba–San Marino

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.2%

San Marino at home

54% / 24% / 22%

Aruba win / draw / San Marino win

Aruba–San Marino

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.6%
0–1 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Aruba	San Marino
Current Elo	1216	901
Elo rank	178th	213th
Peak Elo	1490 (1946)	1468 (1990)
Matches played	152	225
All-time record	32W 31D 89L	3W 11D 211L
Goals for	199	44
Goals against	357	890
Biggest win	8–1 vs Suriname · 1946-06-06 · Friendly	3–1 vs Liechtenstein · 2024-11-18 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Trinidad and Tobago · 1989-04-23 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification	0–13 vs Germany · 2006-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Aruba and San Marino have never played each other.