Head to head

Aruba vs Samoa

If they played today

Aruba at home

45% / 26% / 30%

Aruba win / draw / Samoa win

Aruba–Samoa

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.1%
2–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

37% / 26% / 37%

Aruba win / draw / Samoa win

Aruba–Samoa

1–1 12.6%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.7%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.2%

Samoa at home

30% / 26% / 45%

Aruba win / draw / Samoa win

Aruba–Samoa

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
0–2 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Aruba	Samoa
Current Elo	1216	1216
Elo rank	178th	179th
Peak Elo	1490 (1946)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	152	71
All-time record	32W 31D 89L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	199	99
Goals against	357	249
Biggest win	8–1 vs Suriname · 1946-06-06 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Trinidad and Tobago · 1989-04-23 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Aruba and Samoa have never played each other.