Head to head

Aruba vs New Caledonia

If they played today

Aruba at home

19% / 22% / 59%

Aruba win / draw / New Caledonia win

Aruba–New Caledonia

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

Neutral venue

14% / 20% / 66%

Aruba win / draw / New Caledonia win

Aruba–New Caledonia

0–2 12.2%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.3%

New Caledonia at home

9% / 17% / 73%

Aruba win / draw / New Caledonia win

Aruba–New Caledonia

0–2 13.7%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.3%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Aruba	New Caledonia
Current Elo	1216	1591
Elo rank	178th	85th
Peak Elo	1490 (1946)	1699 (2008)
Matches played	152	265
All-time record	32W 31D 89L	136W 34D 95L
Goals for	199	698
Goals against	357	369
Biggest win	8–1 vs Suriname · 1946-06-06 · Friendly	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Trinidad and Tobago · 1989-04-23 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Aruba and New Caledonia have never played each other.