Head to head

Aruba vs Mexico

If they played today

Aruba at home

3% / 11% / 86%

Aruba win / draw / Mexico win

Aruba–Mexico

0–2 16.9%
0–3 15.2%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.2%
1–2 6.3%

Neutral venue

2% / 8% / 90%

Aruba win / draw / Mexico win

Aruba–Mexico

0–2 18.3%
0–3 17.6%
0–4 12.7%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 7.4%

Mexico at home

1% / 6% / 94%

Aruba win / draw / Mexico win

Aruba–Mexico

0–3 20.1%
0–2 19.5%
0–4 15.6%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 9.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Aruba	Mexico
Current Elo	1216	2012
Elo rank	178th	12th
Peak Elo	1490 (1946)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	152	1008
All-time record	32W 31D 89L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	199	1777
Goals against	357	1057
Biggest win	8–1 vs Suriname · 1946-06-06 · Friendly	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Trinidad and Tobago · 1989-04-23 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64
CONCACAF Gold Cups won	0	13
Expected CONCACAF Gold Cups	0.00	6.74

When they've met

Aruba and Mexico have never played each other.