Head to head

Aruba vs Malawi

If they played today

Aruba at home

28% / 25% / 47%

Aruba win / draw / Malawi win

Aruba–Malawi

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.2%
1–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

22% / 24% / 55%

Aruba win / draw / Malawi win

Aruba–Malawi

1–1 11.2%
0–1 11.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.7%
1–0 6.4%

Malawi at home

16% / 21% / 63%

Aruba win / draw / Malawi win

Aruba–Malawi

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Aruba	Malawi
Current Elo	1216	1438
Elo rank	178th	137th
Peak Elo	1490 (1946)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	152	644
All-time record	32W 31D 89L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	199	753
Goals against	357	832
Biggest win	8–1 vs Suriname · 1946-06-06 · Friendly	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Trinidad and Tobago · 1989-04-23 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Aruba and Malawi have never played each other.